A runoff between Noboa and Gonzalez would be a repeat of the election, when Gonzalez led a first round but eventually lost to Noboa, a business scion. Noboa, 37, would win The online survey of 5, respondents has a margin of error of 1.
That survey had 2, respondents, a margin of error of 2. That survey, conducted with 2, people from Jan. Opinion polls in Ecuador have been "remarkably unreliable" in recent years, Tellimer Insights said in a note, warning investors not to lower their guard.
If anything, considering the outperformance of Ecuadorean bonds over the last month and a half, we believe the market might have grown a tad complacent, and is putting too much faith in opinion polls," Tellimer said.
Tellimer said its base case scenario is a Noboa lead in the first round, though without enough margin to avoid a runoff. Billed as RM9. Billed as RM Divided Ecuador presidential polls show likely win for Noboa after runoff. Already a subscriber? Log in. Monthly Plan RM Annual Plan RM Cancel anytime. No ads. Unlimited access to the web and app. Personalised features. Members rewards. Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel for breaking news alerts and key updates!
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